Championship standings
The drivers’ and constructors’ tables through the season. Step back to any round: the arrows show who gained and who lost against the round before.
| # | Competitor | This round | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Kimi Antonelli Mercedes | +15 | 380 |
| 2 | ▲2 | Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing | +25 | 261 |
| 3 | — | Lewis Hamilton Ferrari | +18 | 259 |
| 4 | ▼2 | George Russell Mercedes | +8 | 250 |
| 5 | — | Charles Leclerc Ferrari | +12 | 245 |
| 6 | — | Lando Norris McLaren | +10 | 221 |
| 7 | — | Oscar Piastri McLaren | +6 | 150 |
| 8 | — | Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing | — | 105 |
| 9 | — | Liam Lawson Racing Bulls | +2 | 79 |
| 10 | — | Pierre Gasly Alpine | +1 | 43 |
| 11 | — | Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls | — | 38 |
| 12 | — | Franco Colapinto Alpine | +4 | 31 |
| 13 | — | Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team | — | 23 |
| 14 | — | Nico Hulkenberg Audi | — | 13 |
| 15 | — | Gabriel Bortoleto Audi | — | 10 |
| 16 | — | Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team | — | 7 |
| 17 | — | Carlos Sainz Williams | — | 7 |
| 18 | — | Fernando Alonso Aston Martin | — | 7 |
| 19 | — | Alexander Albon Williams | — | 5 |
| 20 | — | Yuki Tsunoda Racing Bulls | — | 1 |
| 21 | — | Sergio Perez Cadillac | — | 0 |
| 22 | — | Lance Stroll Aston Martin | — | 0 |
| 23 | — | Valtteri Bottas Cadillac | — | 0 |
| 24 | — | Ryo Hirakawa Haas F1 Team | — | 0 |
Place in the table after every round. Click a name to keep only the ones you want; team-mates share a colour, and the second line is dashed.
Who can still win the 2026 F1 championship?
4 races and 0 sprints left. Who can still catch the leader is arithmetic: only those the points left can carry are listed, the rest are out. The chance is an estimate: the rest of the season is replayed many times, and each competitor’s score in a replayed round is drawn at random from their own rounds this season — wins, midfield finishes and zeros alike. It is the zeros that decide championships. A contender shows a range: on the left the chance from the replays (at least 1%, since replays cannot tell one in three hundred from one in a thousand), on the right the chance of scoring what is needed if the leader scores nothing more. The leader keeps at most 100% less 1% for each contender. Open a row to see the results it takes. An opinion with a stated method, not a betting market.
▸Kimi Antonelli100.0%max 480
The title is already won.
Results are counted over races only — sprints are a margin on top. The leader’s guarantee is exact while he does not win: in a race he wins a rival takes 18 at most, so a win counts as 25 + 7. The chances are the same replays as above: a round’s score is drawn from the rounds the driver has already had. The chance of a blank is the leader’s share of pointless rounds, smoothed as (blanks+1)/(rounds+2).
Mathematically out: 23
